Ballot Desk · 2026 midterm forecast & live results

Ballot Desk2026 midterms · forecast & live results

Overview Senate House Governors States Down-ballot Live Simulate Methodology

Ballot Desk is an independent, automated forecast of the 2026 midterms. It is not affiliated with any campaign, party or news organization.

Forecasts are probabilities, not predictions. Official results come from each state’s election office.

Data: Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0) for candidates and ratings · VoteHub (CC BY 4.0) for polls · Polymarket for market prices · AP vote counts via The New York Times on election night · 2026 district lines from the U.S. Census Bureau.

How the forecast works